Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Economic Powerhouse

Chancellor Angela Merkel has been thrust into leading Europe back from the financial brink, but Germany remains reluctant to take on global clout to match its economic prowess.
Beyond crisis efforts to save the euro, Europe's top economy and export powerhouse remains unable or unwilling to pull its weight on major international crises, analysts say.
Its foreign policy is still defined by "caution, pragmatism, a reluctance to strike out new paths", said Constanze Stelzenmueller of the German Marshall Fund of the United States.
Josef Joffe, writing in influential weekly Die Zeit, summed up German engagement abroad in a commentary headlined "Nothing but words", charging that "Germany follows the crises in the world according to the motto 'hurt no-one, least of all oneself'".
Germany, shamed by its World War II aggression, stepped lightly on the world stage for decades after, refusing to send troops abroad and avoiding muscular diplomacy.
It has since joined interventions in Kosovo and Afghanistan, where it has the third-biggest foreign contingent. But it disappointed NATO allies again in 2011 by refusing to back the Libya campaign, abstaining alongside Russia and China.
Merkel's erstwhile political mentor, ex-chancellor Helmut Kohl who oversaw German reunification, at the time complained that Germany lacked "a compass" in foreign policy and was "no longer a reliable force, internally or externally".
Merkel's former defence minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg recently criticised Germany's "culture of reluctance" in foreign and security matters in a joint New York Times editorial.
Leaders across Germany's political spectrum still believed the nation's economic might helped compensate for its failure to pull its weight in NATO and elsewhere, wrote zu Guttenberg, who resigned in 2011 over a plagiarism scandal.
He also argued that "'chequebook diplomacy' by the biggest European Union member is not a viable substitute for contributing military assets to the joint defence of our common values and interests".
The new flare-up in the Syrian crisis -- just weeks before Germany's September 22 elections -- again put Merkel on the spot, as she seeks to reassure allies that Germany is a reliable partner without spooking a history-scarred and mostly anti-war electorate.
Berlin ruled out joining any US-led military strike but stressed the need for a united international response to an alleged chemical attack by the Damascus regime.
Spiegel Online said Merkel "has to dispense her views on an American attack in such a way that they are seen as criticism in Germany and support in the United States.
"It's a method Merkel has, to a certain degree, perfected."
Although Merkel conspicuously refrained from joining the United States and other allies among the G20 in urging a "strong" response on Syria last week, a day later Germany said it had signed on after EU foreign ministers forged a united position that also backed a strong reaction but stopped short of endorsing military action.
Germany has recently contributed to Western military efforts. Some 400 soldiers operate Patriot air defence batteries to protect NATO member Turkey from any conflict spillover from Syria, and Germany also took part in an EU-led training mission in Mali.
But Berlin is also usually quick to point to its legal restrictions in taking part in deployments abroad, which require a parliamentary mandate that can impede its ability to act quickly.
Hans Kundnani, of the European Council on Foreign Relations, said the Bundeswehr armed forces were also limited by their equipment.
"In essence, it's a choice, I think," he told AFP.
"I think in some ways a lot of people have, kind of, given up on Germany on these issues anyway."
While it has stayed on the sidelines of military conflicts, Germany as Europe's dominant economy was thrown into the thick of the eurozone crisis, where its power has sparked an ambiguous response from neighbours.
When Berlin became the go-to capital, it was at once criticised for imposing diktats on Europe and failing to provide leadership.
Merkel's "tough love" of loans in return for painful reforms drew fire especially in Greece, Spain and Portugal.
At home her centre-left election rival Peer Steinbrueck has called for a "Marshall Plan II" so Germany can repay some of the post-World War II solidarity it was shown.
Germany's real foreign policy priority has been to promote commercial and trade interests, said one Western diplomat, who asked not to be named.
"Priority goes to the economy," he said, highlighting Merkel's multiple trips to China and even resource-rich Mongolia.
Germany has widened its arms exports under Merkel, especially to the Gulf countries including Saudi Arabia, where, for decades, Berlin declined to sell heavy weapons because of human rights concerns and fears for Israel's security.
Kundnani also said Germany had stopped being "apologetic" over its security stance and instead feels its own approach is better than its "way too trigger-happy" allies with their higher defence spending.
"There is a growing sense among German officials, I think, that the nuclear deterrent that Britain and France have is a complete waste of money."

However, China became one of the world's top three investors for the first time last year as its foreign investment soared to a new record, the government said Monday.
The Asian giant's overseas direct investment rose 17.6 percent last year from 2011 to $87.8 billion, according to a statement jointly released by the Ministry of Commerce, the National Bureau of Statistics and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange.
Globally, outbound direct investment fell 17 percent, it said, and the contrasting developments made China one of the world's top three investors, said the statement.
Last year's increase represented an acceleration from 8.5 percent in 2011, when the global economic recovery was weak in the face of continuing financial turmoil in Europe and the United States.
Beijing has been encouraging Chinese companies to "go international" as the country's economy steams ahead, with its appetite expanding for both resources and global market share.
The government has set goals of increasing overseas direct investment at an average annual rate of 17 percent through 2015 to $150 billion.
By the end of 2012, China's total outstanding overseas direct investment stood at $531.9 billion, the 13th highest in the world, said the statement.
The figure was small compared with developed countries as "China's outbound direct investment took off rather late", the statement said, noting that US overseas investments were 10 times larger and Britain's more than three times the size.
"The sectors (China) has invested in are broad and comprehensive, although (the value) is rather concentrated in some industries," it said.
The top destination for overseas Chinese investment last year was Hong Kong, while the US rose to second place with $4.05 billion invested, surging 123.5 percent from 2011.
By end of of 2012, Chinese companies employed 1.49 million staff overseas, about half of whom foreign citizens, the report added.

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